Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.821252 3.372391 3.972095 4.669403 5.454110 6.306146 7.297417
2025-12-28 2.146579 2.892889 3.774658 4.877869 6.205190 7.734878 9.614452
2026-01-04 1.726203 2.601792 3.716353 5.201679 7.090001 9.371480 12.294604
2026-01-11 1.398241 2.349189 3.647773 5.479704 7.922806 10.994105 15.066165
2026-01-18 1.080497 2.035004 3.435401 5.524168 8.438655 12.238594 17.433745
2026-01-25 0.792344 1.691578 3.115407 5.363058 8.641887 13.068668 19.297277
2026-02-01 0.586225 1.423896 2.854732 5.238827 8.862212 13.909926 21.194183
2026-02-08 0.433759 1.205359 2.627848 5.124858 9.068153 14.721088 23.066028
2026-02-15 0.326502 1.039981 2.457110 5.069357 9.341236 15.623582 25.084250
2026-02-22 0.276312 0.982066 2.467343 5.307410 10.072036 17.208833 28.109240
2026-03-01 0.213913 0.871828 2.356538 5.319667 10.437943 18.264338 30.407342
2026-03-08 0.144171 0.708813 2.104971 5.045447 10.309349 18.560637 31.603821
2026-03-15 0.095543 0.579835 1.899250 4.833933 10.275543 19.012130 33.069690
2026-03-22 0.081181 0.559759 1.938714 5.100518 11.076684 20.795602 36.581813
2026-03-29 0.072855 0.559063 2.025031 5.468225 12.074283 22.924833 40.677123
2026-04-05 0.063192 0.547234 2.080917 5.777197 12.981776 24.939253 44.650634
2026-04-12 0.047532 0.495304 2.021011 5.835706 13.437796 26.238784 47.561236
2026-04-19 0.030702 0.417119 1.868705 5.674982 13.476512 26.853025 49.423093
2026-04-26 0.019483 0.354017 1.740909 5.549561 13.566856 27.547626 51.420306
2026-05-03 0.011888 0.300357 1.624747 5.433017 13.660208 28.241629 53.423978
2026-05-10 0.007263 0.259967 1.539070 5.376481 13.862983 29.122891 55.742344
2026-05-17 0.005848 0.254174 1.575811 5.626023 14.687239 31.096122 59.859631
2026-05-24 0.003599 0.226501 1.521980 5.639352 15.032543 32.245424 62.664527